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Nigeria

Last Updated December 2007

Nigeria is a critically important and influential country in Africa. It is Africa's most populous nation - home to nearly 132 million people or about one-sixth of the population of the African continent. As such, Nigeria is a pivotal country, and its fate impacts that of the entire continent. The progress of democracy in Nigeria, its management of its internal divisions, its approach to HIV/AIDS, and its ability to achieve economic success, will have repercussions far beyond its own borders. Nigeria also represents an important African partner for the U.S., particularly, but not only, in economic terms. It is a major American trading partner in Africa and its fifth largest supplier of oil.

Nigeria returned to civilian rule in 1999 after years of military government. Despite this important transition, its democracy still remains fragile, and hopes of greater political and social stability and economic growth have been frustrated. An effort by some members of the National Assembly to amend the constitution to permit President Olusegun Obasanjo to run for a third term in 2007 was overturned, and on May 29, Obasanjo stepped down from office and was replaced by his hand-picked successor from the People's Democratic Party (PDP) Umaru Musa Yar'Adua. President Yar'Adua won a landslide victory of 70 % during the April 21 national election. Local, regional and international observers widely decried the elections as riddled with fraud and ballot manipulation, and 200 people died in violence surrounding the event. 50,000 Nigerians making up the Transition Monitoring Group (TMG) said polls were "a charade" that would require a new vote to lend the results any legitimacy. Yar'Adua assumed the presidency despite these criticisms.

Regionally, Nigeria has played a leading role in diplomatic, military, and peacekeeping efforts on the African continent. Former President Obasanjo provided a forum (in Abuja) and mediation support for the negotiation of the Darfur Peace Agreement in May 2006, as well as troops for the African Union's peacekeeping mission in Darfur. President Yar'Adua continued this support for resolving the crisis in Darfur, pledging more troops to the United Nations-African Union (UN-AU) hybrid force to be deployed this fall. In 2003, Nigeria helped negotiate former Liberian President Charles Taylor's step-down from power and sent in troops to help stabilize the country. In March of 2006, President Obasanjo authorized the extradition of Taylor and his transfer to the Special Court for Sierra Leone, which moved his trial for war crimes to The Hague to avoid destabilizing the region. Nigeria has also played a pivotal role in the establishment and development of regional and pan-African institutions such as the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and the African Union (AU).

Internally, Nigeria continues to experience ethnic and religious violence. Much of this violence is rooted in a struggle to control oil and other resources, but there are other sources of conflict, too. Parts of the country remain particularly underdeveloped, and certain regions claim marginalization from wealth and power. Also, the introduction of a particularly punitive interpretation of Sharia Islamic Law in 12 states has heightened tensions and raised human rights concerns.

Nigeria faces a growing HIV/AIDS crisis. After South Africa and India, Nigeria is estimated to have the third most people living with HIV/AIDS in the world: 2.9 million as of the end of 2005, although the HIV/AIDS prevalence rate is relatively low compared with some African countries. An estimated 55% of those living with HIV/AIDS in Nigeria are women. Only 3% of those requiring antiretroviral drugs have access to such treatment, and there are almost 1 million AIDS orphans in Nigeria.

Nigeria also struggles with economic crises that undermine support for the government. Despite its vast oil wealth, problems of corruption, a flourishing black market, and mismanagement have left Nigeria one of the poorest countries in the world: about 37% of the population lives in extreme poverty. The Niger River Delta, a significant oil-producing region, has long been the site of conflict, in part over the need to redirect more oil revenues for the benefit of local people. Continuing poverty, crime, corruption, and environmental degradation in the Delta region, along with the rise of a new, better-armed and organized militant group, the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND), threaten Nigeria's social stability and economic development. A wave of kidnappings and violence in the region has cut Nigeria's oil revenues by 25 % in 2007. Aside from releasing oil militant leader Moujahid Dokubo-Asari, President Yar'Adua has taken few steps to follow through on his promise of achieving reconciliation and justice for the region.

With respect to Nigeria's foreign debt, in a deal reached in 2005 with members of the Paris Club of rich country creditors, $18 billion of Nigeria's debt was written off. In exchange, Nigeria agreed to make a payment of $12 billion. This substantial payment siphoned government money away from other pressing domestic concerns, such as addressing extreme poverty and responding to the HIV/AIDS crisis. International financial institutions still claim $2.6 billion in debt from Nigeria's federal and state governments.

A long-term view of U.S.-Nigerian relations must confront fundamental issues of democracy, conflict resolution, resource use, the environment, and poverty. Nigeria's interests are in harnessing the country's wealth to contribute to development while building a stable democratic political system. U.S. long-term interests are the same. The U.S. should support fair, transparent and democratic election processes in future polls and provide financial and logistical assistance to independent election tribunals. In the Delta, the U.S. should encourage Nigerian government negotiations with the Niger Delta groups and push oil companies toward greater transparency about revenues and payments.

If the U.S. wants to help promote stability and development in Nigeria, Washington must look beyond Nigeria's oil and consider its people and their environment. Nigeria is currently experiencing its longest period of civilian rule since independence. Though the country still faces significant challenges, with international support, this African superpower can make steady progress toward securing democracy, and achieving stability and prosperity for its people.

 

Links

A Strategy of Extraction: Africa’s Resource Challenge – A Case Study of Oil and the Niger Delta

BBC - Chronology of Key Events - Nigeria

Nigeria's Failed Elections -- International Crisis Group
"Crisis Group May 2007 report outlines the threats to Nigeria’s stability and democracy the country now faces after the corrupt presidential election. . ."  Go >

Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative

Univ of Pennsylvania, African Studies Center - Nigeria Page

Economist.com Country Briefing - Nigeria

Nigerian Newspapers

Latest news from IRINnews.org

Latest news from AllAfrica.com

Basic information on Nigeria (CIA World Factbook)

U.S. & Nigeria: Thinking about Oil
January 2003 - Salih Booker & William Minter, Great Decisions
“After years of internal conflict and military rule, oil-rich Nigeria is once again one of Africa's most influential nations. Yet it still confronts staggering poverty and corruption. If the U.S. wants to help, Washington must look beyond Nigeria's oil and consider its people and their environment.” – This article was published as one chapter in Great Decisions 2003, a briefing book published by the Foreign Policy Association.  Go >
[PDF] [HTML]

Evaluating Democracy in Nigeria
February 19, 2002 - Q & A with Jim Clancy, CNN
Interview with Salih Booker  Go >

Library of Congress - Country Study on Nigeria

 

 

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